The elections over the last few years have revealed totally different results between the Romanian diaspora and inside the country. Inside Romania, the social party won the elections: outside, people had split their votes between the liberals and the USR.
In the 2020 elections, the extremist party AUR had a shock success, voted for by more than 25% of Romanians living abroad.
In Italy, one of the countries with the biggest Romanian community, they even won the elections. But how did they manage to mesmerise the Romanians living abroad?
For a long time, the Romanian diaspora felt left behind by all politicians and parties.
However, they were remembered by the opposition parties during the 2020 election period.
The first waves of Romanians moving abroad were skilled workers who, after a certain period, typically wanted to go back or retire to Romania. Not fully integrated into the countries they were living in, they felt like they didn’t belong. For the families at home, many times they represented only a paycheck. The government was happy to report economic growth with little effort and thanks to the money sent back to Romania by its diaspora. For the ruling party at the time, they represented a threat, because they were less likely to be manipulated. During a few election processes, they were humiliated and obliged to queue for long hours in front of embassies and consulates to vote. Their voting participation was higher than the people going to the polls inside Romania.
When the COVID-19 pandemic struck, nobody needed the diaspora. The prospects showed that many Romanians losing their jobs abroad would come back to their home country. Public speeches, from both politicians and ordinary people, were clear for those previously seen as the saviours of the election or of the economy: don’t come back into the country to spread the virus.
The new AUR party gave them a sense of belonging and pride, emphasising “sovereignty”. Some voted just as an alternative, as all the other parties have constantly disappointed them.
In 2015, 3.4 million Romanians were living abroad, according to UN estimations. During the last 25 years, the country lost 17% of its population. Romania saw the biggest migration rate after Syria, and is first in the world in terms of migration from a non-war area.
National values within an EU context
Despite the rise of nationalist views, Romanians have kept a strong pro-EU attitude.
In October 2020, during the last Eurobarometer, 71% of Romanians declared themselves totally optimistic about the future of the European Union. More than 54% declared they trust the EU institutions, compared to a 34% trust in the national government and 27% in the national parliament.
While many times the discourse in Romania was one of “we won’t sell our country”, Romanians elected a president from the German minority. Furthermore, during the last local elections, Romanians voted for a German national to become the mayor of one of the biggest cities, Timișoara, where the Romania revolution against communism started in 1989.
Nevertheless, the fast rise of a nationalist party, growing significantly in a very short period and managing to get the votes of a radicalised diaspora that traditionally voted for pro-European parties, could lead to more Euroscepticism. The pandemic and its consequent crisis could also predictably reduce the optimism about the EU. These trends also depend on how Romanians both inside and outside the country experience this crisis in a European Union that promises no one is left behind.
Or perhaps, this time the Romanian contradictions will prove helpful: while nationalism increases, the people will remain unable to imagine their dreams fulfilled anywhere else than inside the European Union.
Lorelei Mihala